Resolves Yes if Settles to the outcome the underlying source market resolves to.
Outcome verified from gamma-api.polymarket.com.
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As of July 2026, the probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting is estimated at 25%. This reflects the current economic environment where inflation has been cooling but remains above target, and labor markets show mixed signals. Base rates for rate hikes in a mature cycle are moderate, and market pricing suggests a low but non-negligible chance of a hike.
