Will the Falcon 9 Block 5 | Amazon Leo (LF-12) launch succeed on its first attempt on or before Dec 31, 2029?

Resolves Yes if Launch Library 2 marks the Falcon 9 Block 5 | Amazon Leo (LF-12) launch status Success on or before Dec 31, 2029

Outcome verified from nextspaceflight.com.

1. Market open

   Jul 16, 2026, 5:39 PM UTC
2. Market closes

   By Dec 31, 2029, 11:59 PM UTC
3. Projected payout

   Shortly after the market closes

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