Will the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for the Western United States be -3 or lower (indicating severe drought) at the end of December 2026?

Resolves Yes if Based on data from the U.S. Drought Monitor and NOAA.

Outcome verified from droughtmonitor.unl.edu.

1. Market open

   Jun 28, 2026, 9:22 AM UTC
2. Market closes

   By Jan 15, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC
3. Projected payout

   Shortly after the market closes

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